Search

Covid Vaccines and Airline Industry OAG Data Q4 2020

Updated: Sep 4

September 2, 2020, 17:30 CT.


Two interesting developments for today:

  • CDC asks states to speed approvals so coronavirus vaccine sites are ready by November 1, 2020.

  • OAG data shows interesting Q4 traffic filings for the industry.

Link to CNBC:

CDC asks states to speed approvals so coronavirus vaccine sites are ready by Nov. 1


Related: NYT - Coronavirus Vaccine Tracker



OAG data shows interesting Q4 traffic filings for the industry.


It has been reported that airlines were filing mostly full schedules, then they would correct 6-8 weeks out, based on bookings. Without actual historic OAG data it is hard to tell if that is still the current SOP.


In any case, airlines seem to be filing for a full schedule for Q4, with October as an intermittent step.


While it is interesting, without full context on airline filings, a healthy dose of skepticism is in order. Keep in mind that OAG reported a few weeks ago that airlines were preparing and filing for a winter at 50% traffic levels vs 2019.


Even with vaccines rolling out by November 1, 2020, and given that we are currently at about 30% of 2019 traffic levels, a 100% recovery by the end of 2020 seems very unlikely. Nonetheless, the CDC announcement is promising and the OAG filings data interesting.


This is what the OAG tracker page is reporting this week:


Left graph looks forward six weeks, the right graph shows airline filings through the end of the year. For full resolution, head to the UAL Matrix TSA page, click the graph below, or click here.


Read and heed the notes in the read box.





423 views

user:

emailID:

sysID:

Status:

© 2020 by Digital Solutions LLC